Top Picks

Winner-168 moneyline opportunities with verified positive expected value.

Top Picks clarificationEach card identifies the highest current positive expected-value (EV) wager for that matchup, which may be on either side. The model’s most-likely side is shown separately and can differ. EV uses the sportsbook and odds timestamp shown; prices move, so verify the line with that book.

Month

Team

How this works

The system recalculates the entire future schedule every 30 minutes. Predictions can change until puck drop. At puck drop, the latest prediction locks and becomes the official pick.

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Quick definitions

AccuracyHow often the model picked the winner. 60% means 60 correct picks out of 100 games.

AUCHow well the model ranks stronger teams above weaker ones. 0.50 is random; 1.00 is perfect. Higher is better.

Brier ScoreHow accurate the predicted percentages are. Confident wrong predictions hurt more. 0 is perfect, so lower is better.

Holdout testA season kept out of model fitting so performance can be checked on unseen games.

Upcoming Games

Regular season only. Live record begins at 0-0 and uses only predictions locked before puck drop.