Hockey Predictive Analytics
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NHL Predictive Analytics

Find the edge, not just the favorite.

ShiftEdge estimates NHL win probabilities and compares them with market prices to identify potential value. Explore every part of the platform below, with examples of what each section is built to show.

Live Matchups

Game Predictions

Every upcoming game gets a model probability for both teams, with market context, player impact, goalie impact, and matchup details. Predictions update as new information becomes available and lock at puck drop.

Win ProbabilityMarket OddsEdgePlayer ImpactGoalie Impact
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Next 3 Game PredictionsLive upcoming games
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Value Finder

Top Picks

Top Picks narrows the board to games where ShiftEdge sees the strongest gap between its probability and the market price. The focus is expected value, not simply which team has the higher win probability.

10%+ EVModel ProbabilityMarket ProbabilityBest Price
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Next 3 Top Picks10%+ EV
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Transparency

History

History separates the model's locked predictions from the official betting record. That makes it easy to see how the model performed on every game and how qualifying value picks performed independently.

Model HistoryBetting HistoryWins & LossesLocked Predictions
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Recent ResultsExample layout
TOR @ BOSTOR 56.2%WIN
NYR @ NJDNJD 58.7%LOSS
COL @ DALDAL 54.1%WIN
Team Deep Dive

Team Info

Team pages bring together seasonal and recent performance, model history, player and goalie impact, and trend movement. Use them to understand what is driving a team's current projection.

Season StatsLast 10Trend ArrowsPlayer ImpactGoalie Impact
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Team SnapshotANA · Last 10
Anaheim Ducks

Anaheim Ducks

Goals / Game
Goals Against
Record
Top Player Impact
Projected Goalie Impact
Learn the System

Model Info

Model Info is the full reference for how ShiftEdge works. It covers the methodology, historical testing, evaluation metrics, lineup rules, how to read predictions, and what can cause a probability to change.

How It WorksHistorical TestingAUCBrier ScoreLog LossDefinitions
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Historical Holdout2025–26
57.6%Accuracy
0.634ROC-AUC
0.234Brier Score
0.659Log Loss
14 engineered factorsPlayer strengthGoalie historyRest contextLocked at puck drop
ShiftEdge is provided for research, analytical, educational, and informational purposes only. Model outputs and historical results do not guarantee future outcomes and are not financial or gambling advice. Gambling involves risk and can result in financial loss.