Hockey Predictive Analytics

NHL Game Predictions

Simple win probabilities for every NHL regular-season game.
HomeGame PredictionsTop Picks >10% EV
History ▼
Model HistoryBetting History
Team Information ▼
Atlantic
Boston BruinsBuffalo SabresDetroit Red WingsFlorida PanthersMontreal CanadiensOttawa SenatorsTampa Bay LightningToronto Maple Leafs
Metropolitan
Carolina HurricanesColumbus Blue JacketsNew Jersey DevilsNew York IslandersNew York RangersPhiladelphia FlyersPittsburgh PenguinsWashington Capitals
Central
Chicago BlackhawksColorado AvalancheDallas StarsMinnesota WildNashville PredatorsSt. Louis BluesUtah MammothWinnipeg Jets
Pacific
Anaheim DucksCalgary FlamesEdmonton OilersLos Angeles KingsSan Jose SharksSeattle KrakenVancouver CanucksVegas Golden Knights
Model Information Instagram

How this works

The system recalculates the entire future schedule every 30 minutes. Predictions can change until puck drop. At puck drop, the latest prediction locks and becomes the official pick.
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Quick definitions

AccuracyHow often the model picked the winner. 60% means 60 correct picks out of 100 games.
AUCHow well the model ranks stronger teams above weaker ones. 0.50 is random; 1.00 is perfect. Higher is better.
Brier ScoreHow accurate the predicted percentages are. Confident wrong predictions hurt more. 0 is perfect, so lower is better.
Holdout testA season kept out of model fitting so performance can be checked on unseen games.

Upcoming Games

Regular season only. Live record begins at 0-0 and uses only predictions locked before puck drop.